South Asia Analysis Group


Note No. 168

10. 12. 2002

  

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Nepal: Political Parties continue to be in disarray. Update-25

by Dr. S. Chandrasekharan

Taking advantage of the disarray amongst the political parties, the King continues to consolidate his hold on the government and the administration while the Maoists, confident of the government and the political parties being compelled to come round to their point of view, are making preparatory moves for the peace talks and at the same time continuing to put pressure on the security forces and the administrative machinery of the government.

In the present crisis Nepal, there are three major Actors- firstly the King and his pliant government, second- the political parties and third the Maoists. While the King and the Maoists are following a clear agenda, the political parties are still struggling to come to terms with the post October 4 scenario after the royal proclamation which made them irrelevant.

The King tightens his grip over the administration: Media reports indicate that the King granted an audience to the entire cabinet on 7th and reminded them of the five tasks given to the new government. It is also said that the King expressed his displeasure towards some ministers for speaking carelessly on topics on which they had no knowledge or competence. The cabinet soon after, appointed Minister for Information and Communications, Ramesh Nath Pandey as the government’s spokesperson to disseminate information relating to the government.

In an earlier update 24 of 25th November, we had reported that the cabinet took the extraordinary step to amend the regulations relating to the carrying out of different official tasks and endorsing a system by which all tasks are first presented before the King for his prior approval.

Another ordinance was promulgated on November 27th by the Council of ministers empowering the King to increase royal household expenditure and facilities by himself, a situation that was prevalent before 1990. Before this ordinance, the cabinet was responsible for recommending expenditure relating to the royal household which then was included in the budget. The present ordinance is said to reactivate the 1974 Act with a major change -that it no longer requires a committee to make recommendations to increase the royal expenditures.

A more significant development though in the infant stage is the revival of pro monarchy students’ groups reminiscent of Panchayat days when such students with official support were running riot and specially targeting pro-democracy students. The Nepal Nationalists Students Union (NNSU) organised its first public programme in Kathmandu on 1st December. The organisers announced that the students’ union will be expanded nation wide at the district, zonal and regional levels. In the function organised at Kathmandu, the speakers emphasised that monarchy is an integral part of the country and that with the King having shouldered the responsibility in this hour of crisis in Nepal, the students should become conscious and get together to bring the nation out from current critical situation.

The political parties on the other hand are unable to come together to work out a common agenda and though there are no takers each one is offering a different solution. The Nepali Congress of G.P.Koirala is still harping on the demand of the reinstatement of the dissolved House of Representatives as the only way to resolve the current crisis. In the first public meeting organised by the party after the royal take over, he said that monarchy will be in danger if the King " attempts to swim against the current." He appealed to all other parties to forge a broad democratic alliance. His appeal has so far been ignored. On another occasion on November 28, at Birgunj, Koirala hinted that his party may even consider going for a republic if the King failed to rectify the errors he committed in dissolving the National assembly. Other members of the party have also started criticising the monarchy with the lead given by Koirala. Dr. Ram Sharan Mahat said on the same day that "future of monarchy would be highly uncertain if the monarch did not behave as envisioned in the constitution."

Not to be outdone, the breakaway group of Nepali Congress (democratic) orgainsed a placard carrying rally in Kathmandu on December 6 and the main demand was "reinstatement of Deuba government."

The UML of Madhav Nepal also threatened to start a "united movement" if the King does not rectify the constitutional errors and keeps ignoring the political parties. Needless to say that the UML lost the most with the royal proclamation. With the Nepali Congress vertically split, the UML would have romped home if elections had been held in November as scheduled. An impressive rally was organised by the UML on 6th December at Kathmandu and another at Pokhara. Adopting a middle position Madhav Nepal while not agreeing with the demands of the Maoists for a constituent assembly said that the present crisis could be solved by progressive reforms in the Constitution. He did not spell out what changes he had in mind. He was probably referring to Article 127 of the Constitution on which the royal proclamation of October 4 was based, as he said that monarchy and active politics cannot go together.

The problem of the political parties is that they are sandwiched between the "devil and the deep sea." There is realisation that Nepal is going through a very critical stage, with the Maoists dominating and consolidating their hold in the country side and in areas in and around Kathmandu. They are also aware that if they do nothing, the monarchy will continue to assert itself to pre 1990 situation thus dissipating all the gains the parties had made. But they need to put their acts together. They do make regular statements that the parties will have to have a common programme, but nothing happens on the ground.

G.P. Koirala in one of his rare statements observed that the current political scenario was much akin to the one prevailing at the time when B P.Koirala returned from political exile from India in 1976. Then what did the Nepali Congress do? In a referendum that followed that gave people a choice between party less and multi party system of government, B.P.Koirala turned down in disdain the offer of other political groups to lobby for the multi party together and instead decided to go it alone. The result- the multi party group lost by about five percent and it took another decade and much blood shed before multiparty democracy was introduced. It is GP who should learn from the events following 1976.

The Maoists on the other hand are keeping up the pressure. The students’ wing of the Maoists- the All Nepal National Independent Students Union -Revolutionary (ANNISU-R) has gone for an indefinite strike in the valley commencing from 8th December. In anticipation of the strike, all the schools in the valley have been closed. The students have threatened to strike all over Nepal from next week. Among other things one main demand is the removal of "terrorist tag" on their union.

In another "brazen" incident, two gun wielding Maoists entered the meeting hall, in Kathmandu where a programme organised by the journalists to discuss the threatened strike by the Maoists students was going on, blackened the face of the Joint Secretary, Education of the government and threatened him by pointing the guns before leaving the scene- all in the presence of fifty and odd journalists! In another incident the central office of the Tribhuvan University was bombed in the early hours of 29th November.

Prachanda the leader of the Maoists issued a statement that the party has formed a high level dialogue committee to hold peace talks with the government. The statement continued that the committee is being formed "for a peaceful, positive and progressive political outlet . . . to hold talks with the government, provided a conducive environment is ensured." He has however not given up the three major demands namely- round table conference, formation of an interim government and election to the constituent assembly. Another important development was his undertaking that Maoists will target infrastructures linked to people’s welfare henceforth.

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