South Asia Analysis Group


Note No. 195

18. 08. 2003

  

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Sri Lanka: LTTE offers to produce a counter proposal for north east- Update 51.

by Dr. S. Chandrasekharan 

It was known that the "discussion paper" handed over to the LTTE (refer our Update 50) will not be acceptable to the LTTE precisely for the reason that the proposals fail to provide political authority to run the north east.  With no control over police, security, land and revenue the offer of the government did not meet LTTE’s objectives though the LTTE put it differently that the proposal "failed to meet the expectations of the Tamil people."

But there were two major surprises.

Firstly, unlike in the past the LTTE did not reject the discussion paper outright.  All that Thamilselvan, the political representative would say was that the proposals had many ‘short comings’ and that they would study them in consultation with  its legal and constitutional experts.

Secondly, the LTTE was willing to offer a counter proposal which Thamil selvan himself said would satisfy the expectations and reflect the interests of the people.  For too long the LTTE has been talking in generalities of a solution that would meet the aspirations of the people and have never gone into detail as to what exactly they would accept as an alternative to "Eelam".  The onus of producing a satisfactory solution as an alternative to Eelam has always been left to the government in power in Sri Lanka.

The fact that the LTTE is willing to produce a detailed alternative for the interim administration is itself a major change for two reasons- One- it will contain the basics for a final solution as and when the core issues are discussed.  They cannot talk on abstract principles anymore and will have to go into the nuts and bolts of the arrangement.  Two- it will sensitise the Sinhala majority, the political parties and the monks, who in due course will have to settle for a considerable measure of autonomy for the Tamil areas, if peace and economic progress are to be sustained.

Thus there is a heavy responsibility on both sides to ensure that a mutually acceptable interim administrative structure is introduced as soon as possible.  But there are many pitfalls ahead, more so for Prime minister Wickremasinghe who has to contend with a President breathing down his neck and watching every move of his in the peace process.  On this we will discuss it later.

It is learnt that Thamilselvan is proceeding to Paris very shortly to discuss with the legal and constitutional experts on the provincial administration.  Any proposal coming from them will have to take into account the following.

* The first three principles of the Thimpu declaration which the LTTE have continued to maintain as the corner stone for any final solution. ( In brief, these are Tamils as a nation, recognition of a Tamil home land and the right of self determination).  The LTTE couldn’t care less for the fourth principle which deals with the plantation Tamils.  The Thimpu declaration is the only one that was endorsed by Tamil groups of all hues.

* LTTE cannot give up the powers already being exercised by them in the areas under their control. These include police, security, land and revenue -  the powers that are being denied in the draft discussion proposal provided by the Sri Lankan government.  There are other areas where the LTTE cannot give up such as, its own judiciary, customs and other transportation rules.

Sri Lankan government’s dilemma: Though the ground reality is such that LTTE holds complete control over the territories held by them, will it be possible for the Sri Lankan government to accept this reality and formalise it? This would need a constitutional amendment.

A minor incident that occurred a few days ago is indicative of the problems that could be faced by the government.  On 29th July, the LTTE made a formal request to the chief of SLMM ( Sri Lankan Monitoring Mission) for clearance of transportation of 24 newly trained "LTTE Policemen" to Batticola from the exit point at Omanthai in the north to the entry point at Mankerni in the east. While transportation of LTTE personnel to their areas under control come within the cease fire agreement, the problem was that the government cannot officially accept the passage of "LTTE Policemen" as the LTTE police have not been formally recognised.  A compromise was reached and the policemen were allowed to proceed without their uniforms and the weapons. .

It looks that tough negotiations are ahead even for an interim administration in the north east.  The cease fire may continue and even the talks.  The LTTE is not yet in a position to go against international opinion and renew the conflict.  But the problem lies more with the majority community who are unwilling to see the ground realities. The Constitution may have to be amended but that can be done only if a consensus is evolved.  With the President and the Prime minister at logger heads over the peace initiatives, the chances of the Sri Lankan government coming out with a viable alternative for an enduring solution therefore appear to be slim.

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