MANIPUR: THE LOOMING IMPLOSION
By B.Raman
The law and order situation in Manipur has been
going from bad to worse. The State seems to be moving slowly, but
inexorably towards an implosion.
2. In an article titled "The Creeping
Cancer" on the deleterious effect of uncontrolled narcotics
smuggling on a society, written on June 7, 2004, I had stated as
follows: "Visit Manipur in India on the Myanmar border, which
has been a favourite destination of heroin smugglers from the
Golden Triangle. The increasing availability of heroin has
weakened the administration, governance, the maintenance of
law and order, public morality, public health and
productivity and retarded economic development. There has
been a mushrooming of insurgent groups, many of them not even
having any political or economic or other objective. They have
taken to insurgency because it pays and it pays because of the
support they give to heroin smugglers. Insurgencies thrive because
of the support of heroin-smugglers. Heroin- smugglers thrive
because of the support from insurgents. That is what we call narco-insurgency.
Manipur is a disturbing example of a failed state."
3. Even without the presence of narcotics
smuggling, the law and order situation has always been a source of
major concern to successive Governments in New Delhi due to
widespread feelings of alienation against the Governments at
Imphal as well as at New Delhi. A clueless political class, an
uncaring bureaucracy, a lack of comprehension of the local people
by successive governments at the Centre, total insensitivity to
the feelings and concerns of the local people and a lack of
seriousness in dealing with the problems of the people. Those are
the ground realities in the State.
4. The utter lack of comprehension and the total
insensitivity to the feelings of the local people were
dramatically illustrated by the shockingly inept and casual
manner in which the previous Government of India, headed by Mr.
A.B Vajpayee, dealt with the demand from the National Socialist
Council of Nagaland (NSCN) led by Isaac Swu and Muivah, for a
greater Nagaland incorporating in the present Nagaland the Naga-inhabited
areas of Manipur, thereby giving cause for fears in the
minds of the people of the State that it was inclined to succumb
to the pressure of the NSCN on this issue.
5. The violent upheaval it caused in the
State came as a big surprise to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)
Government. Important pronouncements on such a sensitive issue had
been made by the Centre without even bothering to consult the
local administration. The total ignorance of the sensitivities of
the local people on this and other issues exhibited by the BJP-led
Government did not speak well of its capability for internal
security management.
6. However, it was not an exception. All
political parties, when in power at New Delhi, hardly paid any
attention to the North-East in general and Manipur in particular.
After Jawaharlal Nehru, Indira Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi, no
other Prime Minister of India had shown adequate interest in
understanding and redressing the grievances of the people of the
North-East.
7. At least Nagaland, Mizoram and Assam received
some attention because of the contacts of the local insurgent
groups with the intelligence agencies of Pakistan, Bangladesh and
China and the consequent fears of external involvement to exploit
the local grievances to add to the difficulties of the Government
of India.
8. Such fears of external State involvement in
the internal affairs of Manipur have been minimal. The result: One
takes notice of Manipur only when there is a violent
upheaval there. Manipur does not prick the national conscience in
the same way as the other States of India in the North and the
South do. This is as much true of the Governmental machinery as it
is of the civil society in the rest of India. This is as much true
of the political class as it is of the media.
9. For everyone in the rest of India, Manipur is
a far, far away land. For the national political parties, Manipur
hardly counts because it has only a handful of members
in the Lok Sabha, the lower House of Parliament. Whether a
national political party wins or loses in the elections there
is hardly going to make any difference to its political fortunes
in New Delhi.
10.For the media too, Manipur is hardly
newsworthy and not worth the expenditure of covering it. When
there is an upheaval in Gujarat or elsewhere in India, the entire
press corps rushes there. When Bilkis was allegedly raped by
Hindus in Gujarat, the media vied with one another in covering
it.. There was one investigative report after another. When the
women of Manipur alleged the rape and killing of Manorama Devi by
some personnel of the Assam Rifles, did it evoke the same interest
in the media? Hardly.
11. If a Hindu rapes a Muslim or vice versa,
that is news. But if a Hindu rapes a Hindu or a Muslim rapes a
Muslim that is hardly news The allegations of rape and custodial
killing of Manorama Devi may not be true and may be politically
motivated, but it is the moral responsibility of the Government to
convince the people that it has treated their allegation seriously
and taken the necessary follow-up action to find out the truth
and, if true, take punitive action against those responsible.
12. The fact that the people's anger has not
subsided on this issue shows that the Government has failed to
carry conviction with the people. The present Government finds
itself trapped by the contradictions of its own ill-thought-out
and ill-advised pronouncements before and after the elections on
the question of special powers for the police and other security
forces to enable them deal effectively with terrorism and
insurgency. Special powers are not something to be ashamed of.
Every country in the world, including the UK and the USA, have
given such powers to their security forces. These have been
enhanced after 9/11. They have not become any the less democratic
than we are by giving such special powers to their security
forces.
13. Why should we think that we would become
anti-democratic if we gave similar special powers to the Police in
the form of the Prevention of Terrorism Act (POTA) or to the para-military
and armed forces in the form of the Armed Forces ( Special
Powers) Act (AFSPA) in the North-East?
14. If the POTA is wrong, how can the AFSPA be
right? If the AFSPA is right, how can the POTA be wrong? If it is
wrong to use special legal powers against the lawless elements in
the rest of India, how can it be right to use them against the
people in the North-East? If it is right to use special legal
powers against insurgent elements in the North-East, how can it be
wrong to use them against the terrorists in the rest of India?
15. By its unwise and ill-considered
pronouncements and promised policies on the question of
special powers, the present Government finds itself caught in a
web of contradictions and runs the risk of causing in the minds of
the people of the North-East perceptions of double standards
towards them.
16. There have been many wake-up calls from
Manipur during the last four years. They have had no effect on the
policy-makers in New Delhi. There has been no attempt to deal with
the problems of the people and the State---political, economic,
social and criminal justice-- in a comprehensive manner. Many
recommendations on this subject have come out in the form of
voluminous reports from the Special Task Forces on Internal
Security and Border Management appointed in 2000 and, one
understands, from the report of the fourth National Security
Advisory Board (NSAB) on improving governance in December 2003.
17. Those reports are crying out to be read,
understood and implemented. The longer we delay an imaginative and
soothing approach to the grievances of the people of Manipur, the
greater the dangers of an implosion.
(The writer is Additional Secretary (retd),
Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director,
Institute For Topical studies, Chennai, and Distinguished Fellow
and Convenor, Observer Research Foundation (ORF), Chennai Chapter.
E-Mail: corde@vsnl.com )