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Paper No. 166

  

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HOW CHINA KEEPS THE PAF FLYING

 by B.Raman


While China's assistance to Pakistan in the nuclear and missile fields is well-known and documented, its role in helping Pakistan in keeping its Air Force (PAF) flying despite the difficulties in the procurement of equipment and spare parts from Western and East European sources due to sanctions, foreign exchange shortage and political (in the case of Russia, for example) reasons has not received adequate attention.

The PAF's dependence on Western sources in respect of aircraft for transport, reconnaissance and ELINT/ECM purposes continues to be near-total, with very little assistance from the Chinese. While the transport fleet is of mixed origin (US& West Europe), the entire reconnaissance fleet of 12 Mirage III RPs is of French origin. It uses two Falcon DA-20s for ELINT/ECM.

The transport fleet is of pre-Pressler Amendment (October 1990) vintage. To overcome difficulties, the PAF also uses transport aircraft ostensibly procured for the Pakistan International Airlines (PIA).

As against this, the increasing Chinese role in helping Pakistan maintain its combat/trainer-cum combat fleet in an effective state of readiness to meet any possible threats from India would be evident from the following:

*  Of the total PAF holding of 475 combat and trainer-cum-combat aircraft, 271 are from China, 172 from France and 32 from the US.

*  The 271 from China consist of 160 F-7MP Skybolt air superiority fighter-cum-interceptors, 15 FT-7MP advance trainer-cum-ground attack planes, 48 F-6 Farmer interceptor-cum--ground attack planes, and 48 A-5 III/C Fantan ground attack-cum-strike aircraft.

*  In addition to the above 475, the PAF also has 46 advance jet fighter conversion trainers, which can also be used for light ground attack. All of them are from China--- 25 FT-5, 15 FT-6 and 6 K-8 Karakoram.

The non-Chinese holdings are:

*  43 Mirage IIIO air superiority interceptor-cum-ground attack fighters; 7 Mirage IIIOD advanced trainer-cum-ground attack planes; 40 Mirage IIIE air superiority interceptor-cum-ground attack planes; 18 Mirage IIIEP air superiority interceptor-cum-ground attack planes; 2 Mirage III DP advanced trainer-cum-ground attack planes; 58 Mirage 5 air superiority interceptor-cum-ground attack-cum- anti-ship planes; and 4 Mirage 5B advanced trainer-cum-ground attack aircraft.

*  21 F-16A multi-role air superiority fighters and 11 F-16B advanced trainer-cum-ground attack planes from the US. The PAF had originally received 40 F-16s from the US post-1983; of these, one was alleged to have been secretly given to China for reverse engineering and seven were either lost in accidents or cannibalised to meet the post-Pressler spare parts shortages.

*  20 T-37 Tweets--all from the US. It is a jet trainer.

*  100 Mushak/Super Mushak turbo-prop trainers, locally manufactured.

China's assistance to the PAF started after the 1965 Indo-Pakistan war and this has intensified since the imposition of the sanctions under the Pressler Amendment by the US in October, 1990. The main features of the co-operation are the following:

*  Supply of 170 F-6s starting from 1966. Derived from the Soviet MiG-19SFs, the F-6, which was the export version of the Chinese J-6, is the first supersonic fighter, which China manufactured. Of the original lot of 170, only 63 (48 F-6s and 15 FT-6s) remain in active service with the PAF. Of the remaining, some had been attritioned, some have been de-commissioned and put up on static displays around the country while one squadron was sold to the Bangladesh Air Force. Currently, the F-6 forms part of PAF's No. 17 and No. 23 Squadrons. The remaining 63 F-6s are in the process of being replaced by F-7MP Skybolts from China.

*  Sale of 25 FT-5s in 1975. It is being employed as an advanced fighter trainer serving with the No. 1 (FCU) squadron. Pakistan was and still remains the only non-communist country to buy and operate the FT-5. In the PAF, it is used primarily for combat training and jet-fighter training for graduate pilots.

*  The F-6 Rebuild Factory (F-6RF), Kamra: The F-6 Rebuild Factory was established in 1980 to overhaul the PAF's F-6 aircraft and their airframe accessories. It was licensed to manufacture about 4,000 spare parts for that aircraft, and also produce the 1,140 litre auxillary fuel tanks fitted to the F-6. Engines for the F-6 are serviced at the PAF Faisal base at Karachi. China equipped the factory with modern technical facilities for engineering processes such as surface treatment, heat treatment, forging, casting, non-destructive testing and other machine tools required to manufacture items from raw materials. The F-6RF has been overhauling the PAF's FT-5s, FT-6s, A-5s, F-7Ps and the FT-7Ps.

*  Sale of 52 A-5C Fantans in 1983 which equip No. 16 and No. 26 Squadrons of the PAF. 48 of them are now in active service. It is the export version of the Qianjiji-5, which first flew in China on 4 June 1965. The Q-5 is derived from the Shenyang F-6 (MiG-19) aircraft. The A-5C (Q-5C) is the improved Q5-I 1976 version of the aircraft. It was flight tested in China in late 1980 and certified for production on 20 October 1981. The A-5C was modified by China to meet the PAF requirements in the special role of close air support as well as its primary role of ground-attack and deep penetration strike. Some of the PAF A-5Cs have also reportedly been modified to carry a single 5-20 kT nuclear bomb under the centreline along with two external wing mounted fuel drop tanks. It is said that in the event of a nuclear attack, the PAF A-5Cs could be used to deliver battlefield nuclear bombs over advancing armoured columns. They could also reportedly be used for conventional as well as nuclear attack on Indian air bases, missile launch sites and strategic installations located within 1,000 km from the Pakistani border with air defence escort provided by PAF F-7MP fighter interceptors.

*  Joint designing and production of the K-8 (Karakoram) advanced jet trainer by the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex (PAC), Kamra, and China's Nanchang Aircraft Manufacturing Company (NAMC). The current manufacture is being done at the NAMC. Pakistan had earlier unilaterally developed a similar aircraft, but sought a partnership with China to further advance production and technology standards of that aircraft. It first flew in 1990 and is intended to completely replace the T-37s in service with the PAF by 2005. The total order for the PAF may reach upto 100 aircraft. Currently, only 6 aircraft have been delivered. The K-8 can also be armed with air-to-air missiles for the airfield defence. The first batch of 6 K-8s (with Collins EFTS-86 MFD and Allied Signal TFE-731-2A turbofan) were delivered to the PAF in January 1995 and the second batch of K-8s were to be fitted for the air defence role with the Chinese PL-7 underwing Sidewinder AAMs and a gun pod (23mm) under the fuselage. The latest news suggests that China has ordered 30 Progress AI-25TL turbofans from Ukraine due to the US Government's refusal to authorise the sale of more TFE-731-2A turbofans for this project. So, it is possible that both the PAF and the PLAAF may eventually end up with K-8s powered by indigenous (WS-11) or Ukrainian engines.

*  Joint production of the FC-1 (Fighter China-1) by the Chengdu Aircraft Company (CAC) and PAC, Kamra, with technical assistance provided by Mikoyan OKB of Russia. The PAF calls it the 'Super-7'. It is alleged that the FC-1 (Super-7) is actually a reverse-engineered version of the F-16 from the US, which Pakistan secretly gave to China. Mikoyan OKB is providing the improved version of the 80kN(18,000lb) st Klimov RD-33 turbofan, which is fitted to the MiG-29, designated RD-95. Three flying prototypes and two static test airframes are reportedly under construction and first delivery was originally expected to take place during 2002. PAC Kamra will ultimately undertake the assembly and manufacture of the aircraft. The project, launched in 1991 following the cancellation of Grumman (USA) participation in the development of the Chengdu Super-7, has been behind schedule partly due to Pakistan's request for design modifications to counter India's Su-30MKIs and partly due to informal restrictions by the G-7 countries on the sale of components for this aircraft following the military coup in Pakistan (as explained below).

Other equipment sold by China to the PAF include:

*  PL - 5: A copy of the French Matra-550 missiles. Supplied with the F-7Ps. The range is from 4 to 6 km.

*  The HQ - 2 B: Derived from the Soviet SA-2 SAM. Developed and refined to include ECCM with anti-jamming capability. Estimated operational range from 1000 m to 27000 m and a speed of 4.2 Mach. Inducted in 1983 and equips 2 squadrons.

*  PL - 9:Developed for the area-defence. Combines ultra-low level search radar and fire control radar with a combination of PL-9 SAM and twin 35/37 mm guns. It interfaces guns and missiles against low-level attack aircraft by means of optical units and automatic computer-controlled infra red-laser radars.

*  Long Range Radar System type 514 supplied in 1978.

During last month's international exhibition of defence equipment manufactured in Pakistan at Karachi (called "Ideas 2000"), the PAF unveiled the Grifo-7 radar, locally assembled at the Kamra Avionics and Radar Factory (KARF) at the PAC, Kamra It is to be fitted into the PAF F-7P fighter aircraft. The PAF officials claimed that the Grifo-7, a fire control system, would improve the air-to-air and air-to-ground performance of the F-7P fighter. It comprises four sub-units i.e. antenna, receiver, transmitter and processor. The Managing Director of KARF, Air Commodore Basit, claimed that the first F-7P fitted with the locally assembled Grifo-7 radar was undergoing tests at an undisclosed air base. He felt that the radar would give a tremendous air-to-air capability to F-7P fighters. Also, the F-7Ps would be able to attack ground targets with a greater precision. He added that the PAF was working on a programme that would allow it to produce all the components indigenously.

Mr. Yang Ying, a representative of the CATIC (China National Aero-Technology Import and Export Corporation), told pressmen during the exhibition that the Super-7 aircraft was scheduled to fly from February 2002. He added that, according to the contract signed in February 1999, the FC-1 or Super-7 aircraft would fly in 36 months time. "So far, the project is running smoothly and we hope the fighter will make its maiden flight on schedule," he said.

Despite his claim, there are persistent reports that the Sino-Pakistani projects for the joint development and production of Super-7 and K-8 have run into difficulties due to informal restrictions imposed by the Group of Seven countries on the sale of components for these projects after the military seized power in Pakistan on October 12,1999.

Quoting an unidentified officer of the PAF, "The Nation" of Islamabad reported as follows before the exhibition:" The PAF is on the verge of downgrading the specifications for its next-generation multi-role combat aircraft, the Super-7, because of the Group of Seven's enforcement of an informal ban on weapons sales since last year's military take-over, a ranking PAF source said Thursday. "We will soon reach the point where we may be forced to take a decision to adopt a Chinese avionics suite, instead of the more advanced technology we had hoped to procure from the West," he told The Nation. "Air Command has already been instructed to draw up alternate plans," he added. The political fall-out of the G-7 sanctions is also expected to upset the development schedule of the Super-7, delaying delivery of the first prototype beyond its 2003 deadline, the PAF source said."

Describing the development as a major blow to the military regime, the paper added: "The hi-tech version of the Super-7 was viewed as the ideal replacement for the PAF's ageing medium-tech fleet of F-6s, F-7s, A-5s and Mirages, which are to be retired over the next decade. It is now obvious that its Air Staff Requirement of 150 Super-7s will have to be revised to take into account its inability, in the short-to-medium term, to procure advanced Western avionics, including a multi-mode Pulse Doppler Radar, a mission computer, INS and multi-function displays. The Western arms embargo also means that the PAF will have to revise the Super-7's weapons package, which was to have included a variety of conventional and guided weapons, a potent SRAAM and an active MRAAM."

The paper added: "The PAF will have little choice but to press the Government for a much larger number of the Chinese version of the combat plane, known as the FC-1, which is to have basically the same airframe as the Super-7, but would have to be equipped with Chinese-manufactured avionics and weapons systems. There are also small differences in aircraft systems and equipment. Pakistan has had to struggle to find an overseas partner for the Super-7 venture. Its earlier overtures to Turkey and the United Arab Emirates were rebuffed. Ankara remains committed to the production under licence of the F-16, while the UAE has preferred off-the-shelf purchases. Beijing, too, had hesitated to form a joint venture, because of its belief in more affordable options and weaponry, and had sought to place the responsibility for the procurement of avionics with the PAF.

"They were finally convinced by former Chief of the Air Staff, Air Marshal Abbas Khattak, to collaborate in the avionics venture on strategic grounds. It took three years of negotiations between 1995 and 1998 to finalise the two sides' selection of equipment, statement of work and cost evaluation. A memorandum of understanding was signed by the Governments of Pakistan and China during the visit of the then Prime Minister, Nawaz Sharif, to Beijing in February 1998. This was followed by the inking of a formal contract during his next visit to China in June last year. "

" The Story of the PAF (1988-98) - A Battle Against The Odds," a book on the impact of the Pressler Amendment on the PAF by a joint team of retired PAF officials led by Air Marshal Rasheed Sheikh, states as follows:

*  The invoking of the Pressler Amendment resulted in the cancellation of the Peace Gate-IV programme, under which Pakistan was to have spent US$1.4 billion on the induction of 60 new F-16s between March 1993 and February 1997. The enforcement of the Pressler Amendment was reflected within a year, when the PAF's fleet of F-16s was hit by engine-related problems and all aircraft had to be grounded. The PAF's Project Falcon initiated engine inspections and depot level work at the Sargodha Air Base, but it took two years to recover the 32 aircraft.

*  Washington also resisted the implementation of the Falcon-Up F-16 upgrade programme, saying it was prohibited under the Pressler Amendment, but was eventually persuaded to relent on the grounds that the programme was a safety-related one, and did not enhance the aircraft's operational capability. The enforcement of the Pressler Amendment also prompted the PAF to launch efforts to procure a non-American hi-tech aircraft.

*  Between late 1990 and 1993, it evaluated and rejected the British Tornado, took a close look at the Mirage 2000E, and received a misleading offer from Poland for the supply of MiG-29s and Su-27s. In 1992, the PAF revived an 11-year-old proposal to acquire 20-40 Mirage 2000s, but Paris was reluctant to sell a fully capable version for political reasons. A possible alternative appeared in August 1994, when Sweden's SAAB conglomerate offered to supply its JAS-39 Grippen aircraft, but the deal was killed because of its 20 per cent American component content.

*  Meanwhile, France had offered the Mirage 2000-V and upon re-evaluation, the PAF concluded that the model incorporated the technological jump that it had been looking for. The French offer was not based upon the PAF's operational requirement vis-a-vis its operational deployment in the event of war, but Paris agreed to remove the plane's deficiencies. The negotiations began to become unstuck when it came to the price tag of $3 billion for 32 aircraft, a figure that shot up to $4.1 billion when the cost of a 10-12 year financing package was included. The PAF continued to press for the technical package, but had to combat both tough French negotiating tactics and the Pakistan Government's reluctance to pay for such a large purchase. The deal was ultimately killed in late 1996 by the caretaker government of Malik Meraj Khalid, who was scared off by a distorted media campaign against the Mirage acquisition.

*  During this difficult period, the PAF had little option but to take steps to maintain its fleet size and operational capability.

*  This involved the induction of additional F-7 aircraft from China and the launch of two major upgrade programmes, the most important involving the upgrade and overhaul of existing Mirage III and Vs, as well as F-7s, A-5s and T-37 basic trainer aircraft. The PAF is currently taking delivery of 40 upgraded Mirage III and V aircraft under a $118 million contract finalised in February 1996.

*  This followed the procurement of 50 mothballed Mirages from Australia under a A$27 million deal finalised in April 1990, from which a total of 45 aircraft have been recovered, upgraded and inducted into the PAF.

*  Unfortunately, the imposition of fresh sanctions by the United States in May 1998, following the nuclear tests conducted by Pakistan, has again hit the PAF's maintenance of its F-16 fleet. These sanctions, imposed under the Glenn Amendment, have also affected the serviceability of the PAF's fleet of 12 C-130s, reduced the availability of its automated air defence network, and rendered unusable the six TPS-43 radar employed to provide high-level coverage over Pakistan.

Speaking to reporters at Islamabad on September 15,2000,the then Chief of the Air Staff, Air Chief Marshal, Pervaiz Mehdi Qureshi, refuted speculation of a delay in the implementation of the Super-7 project with China due to informal G-7 restrictions because of the overthrow of democracy in the country. Despite this, Pakistani columnists have been insisting that the project had been delayed on account of several factors. A major problem arose last year when the British firm Marconi Electronic Systems, now known as BAE Systems, refused to enter the bid for the supply of avionics and systems after the military takeover in Pakistan. The two other firms in the race, the Italian company Fiar and the French CSF Thompson, also delayed their bids for integrated packages including radars, head-up and head-down displays, inertial navigation system and a mission computer for the proposed aircraft. Now, with the British equipment out of question, the contract will go either to the French firm or the Italian firm. The winner will, however, have to share the development costs of the Super-7 with China and Pakistan, both of which are committed to the program on a 50:50 basis.

It has been reported that in view of the expected delay in the commissioning of Super-7, the PAF is negotiating with China for the purchase of a new Chinese fighter called the F-7MG. It is said that the aircraft has already been test-flown by PAF test pilots and was found to be a much better aircraft than the F-7Ps in service with the PAF. It has been reported that the PAF wants urgently at least 50 F-7MGs, to replace the remaining two F-6 (MiG-19) squadrons and that, funds permitting, it would like to purchase another 50.

The F-7MG had first flown in 1993 and appeared for the first time at the first Chinese international air show, the Air Show China. According to Chengdu, the manufacturer of the aircraft, the F-7MG offers much greater maneuverability over the F-7Ps bought in the past by the PAF on account of its newly-designed larger double delta wing. Moreover, it has a much better cockpit layout, avionics, radar and navigational aids as compared to the original aircraft.

According to Pakistani aviation analysts, the PAF's F-7MPs had been optimized for high-speed sorties at high altitudes while the F-7MG with a much larger delta wing would allow the aircraft greater maneuverability in low-speed, low-altitude combat. However, at the same time, they point out that the biggest drawback of the aircraft was its WP-13F engine, which was unable to provide high thrust. The engine cannot be replaced by a Russian power plant on account of the fact that the F-7 airframe is much smaller in size as compared to aircraft like the Super 7 or the MiG-29s.

In briefings for the aviation analysts during last month's exhibition, PAF officials stated as follows on the Sino-Pakistani K-8 project:

*  The project began in 1987, with the PAC, Kamra, playing a major role in the designing and development of the aircraft. The PAF provided two pilots, 21 engineers and 24 technicians for the entire duration of the development phase of the project. This phase of the project included the conceptual design phase, detailed designing, technological preparations, parts production, sub-assembly and assembly sequences, and flight-testing. The first prototype trial flight was conducted on November 21, 1990, and the first aircraft arrived at the Kamra airfield on March 19, 1993.

*  Subsequently, the Aircraft Manufacturing Factory at Kamra embarked upon a phased programme of assimilating aircraft manufacturing technology for the K-8. The capability to indigenously manufacture the K-8's horizontal tail, vertical tail and engine cowling has already been achieved. By 2002, the transfer of technology for indigenously fabricating the K-8 front fuselage is also expected to be achieved.

*  The progressive shift from fabricating an airframe of a piston engine aircraft to assimilating the technology for fabricating a K-8 jet trainer aircraft has "given AMF (the Aircraft Manufacturing Factory) the confidence to venture into a full-scale aviation industry. "

*  Considerable progress has been made towards developing the infrastructure required for an aviation industry. The most recent development in this direction is the creation of the Pakistan Aeronautical Complex Board (PACB).

*  In the mid- and late-1990s the K-8 project had slowed down somewhat due to the US embargo on the sale of Garrett TFE 731 turbofan engines to China. The Americans claimed that the engines could be used by the Chinese to build cruise missiles. Last year, however, the Chinese reportedly decided to go in for Russian engines for the K-8.

*  Air Marshal Mushaf Ali Mir, the new Chief of the Air Staff, who was the Director-General of the PAC, Kamra, had been actively involved in promoting export sales of aircraft and other air defence equipment manufactured at Kamra, including the Karakoram-8 jet trainer.

*  As the air chief, one of Mushaf Ali Mir's main priorities would be to ensure that the PAC remained fully committed to the K-8 programme and to promote export sales of the aircraft.

*  AMF manufactures certain sub-assemblies for the K-8. The aircraft, described as an intermediate and advanced jet trainer, is assembled in China, with its parts being made in both countries. Plans call for Pakistan's share in the co-production of the aircraft to be increased from the present 25 per cent to 45 per cent by 2001, following which the plane would be considered for assembly at Kamra.

*  Earlier, PAC officials had dropped plans to set up an assembly line for the K-8 at Kamra due to various constraints, including infrastructure problems. Instead, it had been decided that the PAC would increase its share in the production of high-value components, including fin, horizontal stabilizer, elevator, engine cowling and spare parts support.

*  When Mushaf Ali Mir took over as DG PAC, however, he pushed hard for going ahead with the plan to assemble the K-8 in Pakistan. Export sales of PAC-assembled K-8s, he argued, could become a source of substantial foreign currency earnings for Pakistan. As air chief, he would now be in a better position to ensure that this message gets to be heard in the highest quarters of the Pakistan government.

According to latest reports, the new Air Chief would soon travel to China to ink a deal for the procurement of three squadrons of F-7 MG intercept fighters (60) for their immediate induction into the PAF.

The jets are stated to be lying ready with the Chinese manufacturer for the last three years, but the Pakistani authorities could not decide about the various systems to be placed on these interceptors, which have increasingly become Pakistan's only option to enhance its air power. The last flying trials of these aircraft were done by Pakistani pilots in 1997 and the non-availability of the British radars for being fitted posed a major problem.

China and Pakistan were jointly evaluating the Italian FIAR and the French CFS Thomson Radar to be mounted on these aircraft. The Italian Radar has reportedly been found to be suitable. It is a multifunction Radar with look down capability.

It has been reported that the Government of Pakistan had already allocated funds for the purchase of these jets in its budget for 2000-01 released in June, but had not informed the IMF about it. It had also asked the PAF to keep the matter pending till the IMF sanctioned fresh assistance for Pakistan, which the IMF has now done.

It is said that Beijing has also offered a very flexible suppliers credit for the purchase of these fighters. 


(4-12-00)

(The writer is Additional Secretary (retired), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. E-Mail: corde@vsnl.com)