Dr.Henry
Kissinger’s Book “ON CHINA” – An Indian
Perspective
Guest Column:
By N. Narasimhan
“ Relations Between Great Powers
cannot b sustained by inertia, commerce or
mere sentiments” Aaron Freidburg in New
Republic, August 4, 2011.
That this Book is unique in many ways is
quite obvious. Not just because of the
Statistics. that Dr.Kissinger has counted
having made about 50 trips to Beijing and
the sheer mental and physical stamina on
display. Hypothetically, someone can beat
that in numerical terms. Or can conceivably
even carry out missions of comparable
importance in future. But there is not even
a “ghostly” chance of any one replicating
the meetings he has had with Mao, Deng, and
the successor Chairmen of CPC/CMC/PRC; or
the meticulous manner he has kept a record
of these and shared them with the world.
For good or bad, this review will be
understandably in the nature of lessons to
be learnt, in the light of where we are now,
our system and other deficiencies, and that
have contributed calling for remedial action
with urgency, to safeguard long and
continuingly being neglected vital national
interests.
India – China Border Dispute and
War:
The India – China border war of 1962 has
been covered here more in the perspective of
a major illustration of Dr.K’s basic thesis
on China’s “exceptionalism” and
“singularity”, as characteristic style of
statecraft distilled in which principles of
“deterrent co-existence”, and
“offensive-deterrence”(being defined as
“luring in the opponents and then dealing
them a sharp and stunning blow”) are
important components.
Parenthetically, the India – China
Border War has also been given dubious pride
of place, as a dramatic opening prop for the
Prologue with which Dr.K has begun the book
! Not being a critical element to his main
purpose of the Book, in Dr.K’s broad brush
treatment of the history and actual
developments preceding the October –
November 1962 Chinese attack on India, the
facts are smudgy and a number of crucial
issues have been glossed over. In fact,
there are arguably many historic
inaccuracies.
The Chinese Attack was a well
planned meticulous attack
This Book has done yeoman service to the
Indian cause by conclusively demonstrating
that the Chinese attack was a well planned
and meticulously executed “malice
aforethought”, which was personally handled
by Mao himself. The quotes attributed to Mao
in this Section almost all have been sourced
from an article by one John K.Garver.
Some of Dr.K’s assessments of Chinese
working and decision making style described
in this Section, which get repeated often in
different forms, throughout the Book are
worth reproduction for ready perusal.
“It was not yet an order for military
confrontation; rather a kind of alert to
prepare a strategic plan. As such, it
triggered the familiar Chinese style of
dealing with strategic decisions: thorough
analysis; careful preparation; attention to
psychological and political factors; quest
for surprise; and rapid conclusion“.
(Page 188, Chapter 7 – from an account of
Mao’s meeting with Chinese Military
Commanders in 1962)
Dr.K goes on to mention two specific points
which demonstrated the comprehensive way in
which Chinese policy was being planned. The
Chinese leaders were concerned that the U.S
might use the Sino - Indian conflict they
were preparing for to unleash Taiwan against
the Mainland. Also the U.S may start some
mischief in Indo – China, in the
developments of the then current edition of
the Vietnam War, and use it for an American
attack on Southern China through Laos.
They used a simple subterfuge to obtain
quick reassurance on the first point. At the
routine Ambassador level meetings then under
way at far away Warsaw, they got the U.S.
Representative to deny any American
intention of armed action in Taiwan by
making a false allegation that the U.S. had
amassed troops for this purpose, and getting
it refuted by him. Remarkable in itself,
Dr.K also highlights this to additionally
emphasize the difference between a
comprehensive approach to policy making
(Chinese model) and a segmented one (by
others).
Then Chinese Ambassador Wang
Bingnan at Warsaw had claimed in his Memoirs
that this information played a very “big
role” in Beijing’s final decision to proceed
with the operations in the Himalayas.
(Page-189, Chapter -7).
The role of the Soviet Union, Khrushchev and
the Cuban missile crisis finds a mention in
this Section, with references to Soviet
flip-flops. But Dr.K does not make a
specific point that the then raging Sino –
Soviet ideological war may have played any
significant role in the Chinese decisions
and actions leading to the 1962 war – the
point (the cruciality of the Soviet/Russian
factor and role) he has made in every other
of the three major comparable international
conflicts/crises he has elaborated on,
namely, the Korean war, the Taiwan Straits
crises and the third Vietnam war (“We
touched the Tiger’s buttocks”), to exemplify
China’s use of armed action as a policy tool
in its international relations. (Page-340,
Chapter-13).
It needs to be noted though that Dr.K has
graphically/gleefully, but briefly,
described, in different places, caustic
/acerbic exchanges between the Chinese and
Soviet leaders and their publications, to
show China’s irritation and indignation at
different aspects of Indo-Soviet relations.
But not as significant factor in China
launching the Border War.
The so called
1961 “Indian Forward Policy/Nehru’s Forward
Policy” gets mention, as occasion to quote
Mao epigrammatically telling the Central
Military Commission (CMC) and top leaders,
“a person sleeping in comfortable bed is not
easily roused by someone else’s snoring”.
(Page 187, Chapter 7). (What or whom, did he
have in mind in this allusion?!)
Tibet, Tripartite Agreement and Neville Maxwll’s Thesis”
Neville Maxwell who had made much of
this “Forward Policy” as the main reason for
“India’s China War”, in his eponymous Book
sponsored by the PRC, (he was a State guest
in Beijing writing the Book) gets a small
foot note reference (Serial # 7, Page-545,
Notes), in the early tracing of the history
of the Simla Tripartite negotiations leading
to the Mac Mahon Line Agreement (1914), to
quote the Emperor’s then Representatives in
Calcutta, Lu Hsing – Chi on the Middle
Kingdom’s positive attitude to the Simla
Meeting; “We must exert muscles to the
utmost during this Conference”, (Page-186,
Chapter 7)
Dr.K, however fails to note that the
main reason for the then Chinese Central
Government’s refusal to fully “sign” the
Tripartite Agreement was their non
acceptance of the border between “Inner”
(Sechuan and Yunnan provinces) and “Outer”
(present Autonomous Region area) Tibets, and
not the India – Tibet segment of the Line,
while he elaborates on the significance/
difference in Diplomatic Practice between
“initialling” and “signing” an International
Agreement.
Though mentioning Tibet in
the context of the evolution the Mac Mahon
Line aspect of the border dispute, Dr.K
briefly refers to HH the Dalai Lama (DL)
taking asylum in India in 1959 in this
Section, only to the extent of China
beginning “to treat the issue of demarcation
line increasingly in strategic terms”, not
as a significant trigger for the Border War
China launched three and a half years later.
(Page 187, Chapter 7).
There is an amazing passage of brutal
frankness, in a book replete with breath
taking dialogue scripts, on the 1959 Tibetan
Revolt and the D.L’s escape – a verbatim
record of a macabre exchange between Mao and
Khrushchev during the latter’s visit to
Beijing in October, 1959, that has to be
highlighted . (Page-171, Chapter-6)
Three Mao quotes given by Dr.K in this
Section on India – China 1962 War are worth
reproducing, as they unambiguously establish
the “malice aforethought” of Mao to unleash
the War on India, as supplementary
Diplomacy, with meticulous preparedness.
(i)“You (perhaps referring Nehru) wave a
gun, and I will wave a gun. We will stand
face to face and can each practice our
courage.” Mao defined it as policy of “armed
coexistence” (to the CMC – page 188,
Chapter-7).
(ii) “Lack of forbearance in
small matters upsets great plans. We must
pay attention to the situation”. (to the CMC
– Page 188, Chapter-7)
(iii) “We fought a
war with old Chiang (Kai-shek). We fought a
war with Japan, and with America. With none
of these did we fear. And in each case we
won. Now the Indians want to fight a war
with us. Naturally, we don’t have fear. We
cannot give ground, once we give ground it
would be tantamount to letting them seize a
big piece of land equivalent to Fujian
province......Since Nehru sticks his head
out and insists on us fighting him, for us
not to fight with him would not be friendly
enough. Courtesy emphasizes reciprocity”.(In
early October 1962 – “to assembled Chinese
leaders to announce the final decision,
which was for war” – Page190, Chapter-7)
Other Aspects of Indian
Interest
It is somewhat disappointing for the
Indian observer that Dr.K. had not found
time and space to cover China – Pakistan
relations despite their having been found to
be crucial in U.S – China bilateral talks,
and had apparently been dealt with as such
at top leadership meetings, from two
important perspectives, namely,
nuclear/missile proliferation and
international terrorism, during the Clinton
and George W.Bush, Presidencies.(On
Terrorism, Dr.K evocatively describes China
as an “agnostic bystander” – till America’s
“9/11”)
However, all that he has to say on the
bilateral, collusive violations of
international agreements and commitments on
nuclear and missile non proliferation areas
by the two “rogue” friends of the U.S. is :–
“Finally, the experience with the “Private”
proliferation network of apparently friendly
Pakistan with North Korea, Libya, and Iran
demonstrates the vast consequences to the
international order of the spread of nuclear
weapons, even when the proliferating country
does not meet the formal criteria of a rogue
state.” (Page-496 – Chapter-18).
The
following passage from Huang Hua’s harangue
to Brzezinski in the segment relating to the
third Vietnam War (page 352, Chapter 13) has
something India can ponder over, in the
light of its so far ineffective responses to
Pakistan’s long persisting Low Intensity War
strategy, to expose the fallacious
perceptions it is based on.
“As for the
argument that the Soviet Union would not
dare to use conventional arms for fear of
nuclear attack from the West, this is only
wishful thinking. To base a strategic stance
on this thinking is not only dangerous but
also unreliable”. (citation # 15, page 352,
Chapter 13 and page 555 of Notes ).
The suggestion is that India needs to
drastically change the ambience of bilateral
equations in Subcontinent, and gain
“strategic space and strategic autonomy”, by
appropriate actions and responses to
periodic provocations by Pakistan, so that
its “all weather friend” China, as ever
pragmatic, finds it prudent to read the
wisdom of the above quote to its permanently
parasitic neighbour - with two small
changes, inserting “India” in place of
“Soviet Union” and “you” in place of “the
West”, as highlighted in passage above.
Four major Historic Occurrences in
US-China Relations: Principled?
These figure repeatedly in the context
of the four major historic occurrences,
marking the evolution of U.S – China
bilateral relations, post October 1949,
namely; the triangle of U.S - Soviet Union –
China, Cold War era and beyond, the tortuous
negotiations over Taiwan, the Korean and
Vietnam wars, as well as the domestic
convulsions engineered by Mao in
revolutionary zeal.
Behind the facade of fiery
militancy bordering on nuclear war
mongering/of “principled” ideological
firmness/political toughness/historic
Civilizational patience, drawing inspiration
from Confucius, Sun Tzu, and so on, the PRC
leadership is capable of extreme elasticity
and pliability, surpassing the marvels
witnessed in the fantastic physical
contortions of the famed Chinese Circus
Gymnasts.
The only principle of their
“Principled stand” is pragmatic achievement
of the desired goal, by hook or crook, which
may be battle for survival against, or
keeping at bay, the Polar Bear time and
again, checkmate the U.S. Imperialism in
Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan, Southeast Asia, and
of late, the East Pacific, or determined
pursuit of pulling the country out of
backwardness, poverty, towards economic
domination of the world.
It looks like the hoary Middle Kingdom
Statecraft culture held the concept of
“consistency” at arm’s length and use of the
ideograph to depict this. Or that it had
been banned along the way by Emperor Chin
Shi Huang Di, with the writings of Confucius
and other Chinese wise men.
Dr.K’s
dramatic, ‘blow – by – blow’ account of how
the Chinese Leadership desperately sought to
settle the crisis precipitated by Fang
Lizhi, (China’s Andrei Sakhrov sans the
Noble and perhaps the Hydrogen bomb),
suddenly seeking refuge in the US Embassy in
Beijing with his wife on June 4 1989,
fearing the worst to his safety following
the Tienanman (TAM) crack down, is a vivid,
“no-holds-barred” play out of most of the
above “Chinese characteristics” (pages
428-432, Chapter 15). It is also the high
point of the trust Chinese Leaders had in
Dr.K and his (brain) power to deliver them
from the most awkward of situations (they
were many) when he specially undertook this
mission (November 1989) as a non official.
The passage “At this point Deng got up
from his seat and unscrewed the phones
between his seat and mine as a symbol that
he wanted to talk privately” (page 430) and
what followed to a happy, face saving
package deal end, epitomises the
quintessential spirit and substance of
Dr.K’s Book, on himself, China, and all in
between. Point to note:- When the chips are
down, there is no scale to measure the depth
of a Chinese climb down.
The Chinese Leadership of all generations
practises with consummate success all verbal
and physical feints, duplicity, outright
lies, wrapped in deliberate studied
ambiguity, grandstanding calls for World
Revolutions against Imperialism,
Revisionism, Hegemonism, Brinkmanship in
readiness to risk nuclear war annihilation,
as a tool of blackmail, and so on, to
achieve well planned, meticulously executed,
long range objectives of domination, even
from an intrinsically weak position – Wei Qi
style.
The “Chinese characteristics”-
the world should take note of:
The known history of the 1962
India-China Border War, and the “unknown”
developments in this area of the past three
decades since the resumption of the dialogue
between the two countries, post the 1962 War
hiatus, (dealt with in detail elsewhere in
this Paper), are the close-to-home, hurtful,
demonstration of these “Chinese
Characteristics”.
Most of the time they have succeeded in
pulling the wool over the eyes of “friends”
as well as “foes” at the given point of
time. (many times the same entity is
simultaneously invested with both the roles
and dealt with).
PRC’s ‘cohort’-ing with impunity with
“rogue”countries and their discredited
leaders, shunned by most the world at a
given point of time, like those of Sudan,
Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, Somalia, Cambodia,
Myanmar and many despots of latter America,
inter alia, for crass material benefits like
access to oil and other commodities, or for
diplomatic purposes, uniquely sets them
apart as unafraid of isolation or widespread
unpopularity. Eventually they have the last
laugh.
There have been, inevitably, a
few misfires and failures, in this approach,
and the PRC has taken the tumble, at times
grievous hurt, on the chin, and continued to
march forward.
Now the Chinese involvement with Col.Gadhafi
in Libya and the temporary set-back in their
oil fortunes there are the latest
illustration. Their cosy relationship with
Bangladesh after a short interregnum,
despite their support to the hilt to
Pakistani suppression in the East, prior to
and during 1981 war, is another classic of
adroit, nimble footwork, turning 180
degrees, sans any qualms.
All along, the Chinese Leadership has
demonstrated extraordinary capacity to
mobilize resources, man power, material and
what have you, on a stupendous scale, and
concentrate these to tackle the tasks on
hand, be it the Korean War, Taiwan Straits
crises, border show downs with the Soviets
in Siberia, or the ill-conceived,
force-marching of the country to instant
economic Utopia, through the Great Leap
Forward steroid administration, the Societal
Purification and perpetual Revolution sought
in the GPCR and dazzling achievements in
putting up modern Infrastructure show pieces
or disconcerting cyber attacks on strategic
assets of countries all over the world with
uncanny ease which can poise them to the
role of Hitler of the future e-universe.
Aggressive Postures of Chinese
Diplomacy:
To illustrate (one of many) the
confidence and aggressive facet of Chinese
diplomacy, even when in a hole of relative
weakness, Dr.K cites detailed accounts of
meetings of not only Deng, but also of
second tier leaders like Foreign Minister
Huang Hua, where they passionately hector
his successor NSA, Zbig. Brzezinski, on the
wrong line of policy and approach, in their
view, adopted by the U.S towards the Soviet
Union, (in the backdrop of the 3rd Vietnam
War) which, inter alia, allowed the Soviets
various concessions in areas of trade and
technology, instead of putting military
pressure on it, that would rebound to haunt
the U.S. through competition and challenge
in future (Page 351- 353 Chapter 13).
It is ironic that, right now, the shoe is on
the other foot. The accommodative policy
adopted by the U.S towards China in the past
two decades, 1990-2010, in trade and
technology transfer areas, have made China a
major challenge to U.S, while the Soviet
Union had withered away.
Throughout the
Book Dr.K gives invaluable insights into the
PRC and CPC inner working, and thought – cum
- decision making processes at the highest
levels from extensively researched authentic
records, mostly of U.S provenance, but also
plenty of Chinese and Soviet origin. It is
felt that China watching scholars and
diplomats will reap adequate dividends if
they strive to access similar archival
records of Albania, under Enver Hoxha /
Mehmet Shehu the only country which PRC/CPC
had kept close relations with during its
decades of “revolutionary” isolation,
including the domestically turbulent GPCR
years, when it strove to be the center /
leader of World Revolution and Communist
Orthodoxy. In particular, significant keys
to the mystery of Lin Piao’s death and the
rise and fall of the Gang of Four may be
available here.
"Insistent Posture" of the
Chinese:
The most important take for me personally
from Dr.K’s Book, in dealing with China is
the phrase “Insistent Posture” (IP). This
occurs obscurely (Page 508) in the last
brilliant Chapter-18, “The New Millennium”,
in the context of Dr.K comprehensively
analysing a December, 2010 seminal,
authoritative Statement on PRC Foreign
Policy by State Councillor Dai Bingguo in
its multi faceted aspects. It has apparently
been used by the “Triumphalist” school in
the ongoing “The National Destiny Debate”,
exemplified by two very popular, “deeply
nationalistic” Books, “China is Unhappy”, a
2009 collection of essays, and “China Dream”
a 2010 publication by PLA Senior Colonel Liu
Mingfu, both of which advocate that China
should stand up and follow aggressive
measures “to become the number one in the
world”. One ostensible purpose of Dai
Bingguo is to distance the PRC leadership
from this popular, almost militarist
posture, carry conviction with and reassure
the world about the bonafides of the
Official policy, namely, “peaceful rise” –
since revised to “peaceful development” -
and “harmonious world”. (Pages 504 onwards,
Chapter-18).
All the above three offerings have been
expertly summarised and analyzed by Dr.K,
with appreciable objectivity and
thoroughness, as well as realism of an
American strategic thinker. Hence, one
should refrain from seeking to gild the
lily, as it were, but recommend that this
Chapter should be read in full, along with
the succeeding, equally brilliant,
“Epilogue”, where, after drawing parallel
from the developments leading to World
War-I, with the help of a U.K. diplomatic
study, “The Crowe Memorandum”, he weighs in,
ever so gently, in favour of a
non-confrontationist development of U.S –
China relations, in future, in the face of
real, strong, inevitable challenges.
I have plumbed that “Insistent Posture”
should be the watch word hereafter which
should guide India’s approach to all aspects
of bilateral relations with the PRC.
Obiter on India – China relations-
The Indian Public Should be taken into
Confidence:
The nitty-gritty of the post Nehru era
India - China border dispute negotiations
have been marked by near total secrecy. This
has been plainly proven to be purposeless,
self defeating, counterproductive, and
arguably much worse. This has given rise to
lot of unhealthy speculation about various
proposals proffered by either side.
One of these is a “swap”, attributed to
different Chinese Leaders including Mao,
Chou, Deng, at different points of time. In
essence this amounted to a Chinese offer
that they would allow India to keep the
disputed area in the Eastern sector, in
return for India’s acceptance of the Chinese
claims in the Western (Ladakh) sector.
Dr.K’s Book refers to this Swap in suitably
authentic tone, as having been offered by
Chou Enlai, and its non acceptance by India,
without however any specific official level
citation at this point (page 187, Chapter
7). Other references allude to this subject
else were in the Book in general terms,
basing on the secondary source, Mr John
Garver.
Ambassador C.V.Ranganathan’s Book, “India
and China, The Way Ahead”, second edition,
2004, (herein after referred to as “CVR –
ICWA”), gives strong credence to this
thesis, with a detailed narrative of the
1979 talks in Beijing between Deng and the
visiting then Indian EAM, Mr. Vajpayee,
wherein the Swap had figured (Pages 166 –
168, CVR – ICWA). No documentary authority
has however been cited. The narrative also
shies away from authoritatively spelling out
specific details of the Swap. It however
avers that India rejected the PRC proposals
on Constitutional legal, technical grounds,
again without citing any authority.
“CVR
– ICWA” nevertheless speculates that
difficulties envisaged in “selling” any line
of territorial compromise to the Indian
public to settle the Border issue would be
electoral hot potato. Does this mean that
India just kept mum without any response,
beyond, “Sorry we cannot accept this for
domestic political reasons”?. Or they
discussed their problems with their
counterparts, in whatever fashion, but had
chosen to hide it from the Indian public?
Whichever way, even if essentially correct,
this premise is a totally fallacious,
escapist, if not a “cop-out”, showing poor
appreciation and judgement of the dynamics
of India’s domestic polity.
India’s
relations with the PRC is one area which can
be safely postulated as extrinsic to, and
fairly well insulated from the vagaries of
domestic electoral politics, which can be
safely kept that way unless violently
mishandled.
Whatever the assessed obstacles, these will
not go away with time, but only assume more
dangerous dimensions, eventually bringing
greater grief to the country, through the
tactics of “seeping aggression” being
successfully pursued by the PRC, through
more frequent, enlarging, and growingly
emphatic references to their claims to
Tawang and “South Tibet”, which had not been
seen till recently.
Recently, there was an article in Chinese
media in which the author discussed in
detail the relative merits of China handing
over to India areas claimed by it in the
Eastern Sector (Arunachal Pradesh), in
return for India agreeing to China’s
retention of the area under its occupation
in the Ladakh Sector (Aksai Chin).
Probably for the first time, this author
claimed at length that Chairman Mao had
himself convincingly advanced in detail
(obviously before his death) the strategic
advantages of China retaining Aksai Chin,
compared to lesser purchase in keeping
Arunachal Pradesh. This seemed to indicate
the existence of an ongoing debate, or its
recrudescence, on the subject within China
and a serious attempt being made by some
section of the leadership to gain wider
acceptance among the country’s population
for this move, in the face of internal
opposition.
This clearly calls for India to have a goal
and a strategy to take advantage of such
debates in China by appropriate, adroit
modifications in negotiating positions /
postures.
India Should produce a White
paper on Border Negotiations:
In view of these developments, it is
time that GOI sets all speculation on this
at rest without further delay, with an
authentic, comprehensive report on Border
negotiations held so far since 1963-1964, on
the lines of the White Papers published on
pre 1963 events. Simultaneously, GOI should
make public every aspect of what all has
transpired in bilateral negotiations between
the two countries covering all subjects,
beyond the Border Dispute too.
The paradox and contrast with GOI in keeping
its “Aam Admi” in total darkness on
momentous external relations issues
affecting national security, thereby denying
itself the strength and support of the
masses, needs to be taken note of and
corrected.
Issue of River Waters
There is a special
urgency to do this immediately in respect of
negotiations on the exploitation of waters
of international rivers flowing out of Tibet
for which both the Governments have
constituted the “India – China Expert Level
Mechanism on Trans – Border Rivers” which
holds annual meetings.
The potential
long term adverse effects of the River
Waters issue are much more damaging to the
future of the Nation and its population,
than even the dispute over Border
territorial claims, whose (mis) handling
over the years has proved dangerous enough
to National security. The absence so far of
any meaningful detailed disclosures on this
subject, covering GOI’s attitude and
actions, if any, as well as PRC’s responses,
if any, evoke an eerie, nightmarish feeling
of replay of the Border dispute tragedy of
the 1954 – 1962 vintage.
In the absence of more detailed
information, the PM’s recent statement on
the River Waters, in the current Parliament
Session, gives the impression that GOI may
be following a wrong course of action
intending to domestically down play the
problems with the PRC, in the misplaced
assessment that this is either necessary, or
will lead to maintaining over all, friction
– free, “friendly” relations with the PRC.
If so, there has been a culpable failure to
learn the lessons from the tragic
experiences of Mr.Nehru which led to his
refusal to a January, 7 1963 oral message of
Chou Enlai requesting to meet personally and
discuss the six (NAM) nation Colombo
proposals, with the observation “matters are
gone too far and the people of India could
not be persuaded to accept Chinese ‘bluff
and nonsense’ any more”. (Pages 99 – 101 of
India’s CDA in Beijing, Dr.P.K.Banerjee’s
Memoirs of the Chinese Invasion of India).
White papers published by GOI on the
1962 War graphically show the background for
Mr.Nehru’s above frustration. That it is
fatal to second guess PRC’s intentions and
meanings from their cleverly ambiguous
statements, especially from a self induced,
pre conceived naive mind set, resulting in
make believe or wishful interpretations of
what one wants to see and hear, rather than
nailing the PRC in writing on what they had
specifically intended or wanted say.
Two
letters exchanged between the two Prime
Ministers, one of Mr Nehru dated May, 22,
1959 where he sought it interpret Chou Enlai
on having accepted the Mac Mohan Line during
his visit to India in January, 1957 (letter
written after a lapse of two years after the
visit!) and Chou Enlai’s flat contradiction
of the same in his reply dated September, 8,
1959 are prime examples of the failure to
adopt the methodology of “Insistent Posture”
(refer Para 73).
An extract of Diplomatic
Note dated 31 May 1962 by the Chinese
Foreign Ministry to the Indian Embassy in
Beijing at Appendix – II is another shining
illustration of the dangers of the
preconceived mind set in dealing with the
PRC (Page-142, CVR – ICWA).
There was no Dr.K in the 1950s to wise
up the world with experience to share in
dealing with latter day Middle Kingdom
Mandarins who have carried the same Imperial
DNA for millennia, mutated for good measure
with dyed – in – the wool , Marxist –
Leninist Revolutionary ambitions.
GOI will be well advised even now to go over
with fine tooth comb what all have been
officially exchanged with the PRC, on the
subject of River Waters, what replies the
PRC had given in writing, including the
record of exchanges at annual meetings of
Experts. ( hopefully they are comprehensive.
The Concept of “Line of Actual
Control”:
The Line of Actual Control (LAC) is a
crucial concept, which unfortunately has
remained only that, for decades now, in
India – China Border negotiations. The PRC
has successfully evaded giving any
meaningful idea of their version of this
LAC, in spite of undertaking to do so in
solemn bilateral undertakings in Agreements
signed by Heads of States and Governments of
the two countries periodically. Absence
“Insistent Posture” on GOI’s part, the PRC
has merrily gotten away without giving any
concrete description of the LAC, so that
they can draw it any time in future South of
Tawang and tell GOI that they have never
said anything contradictory before
officially and they cannot be proven wrong.
And they will get Neville Maxwells of 21st
century (perhaps some Indians too!) to paint
them as paragons of all Celestial virtues,
attributed to Confucius, Sun Tzu etc.
Singularity and Exceptionalism
Dr.K devotes time and space in the Book
to highlight China’s “Singularity” and
“Exceptionalism”. One salient aspect
emphasized is the great influence of China’s
ancient Civilizational history, Culture, and
writings of Philosophers like Confucius, Sun
Tzu as the bedrock and guiding force
throughout the many millennia, to the
cataclysmic contemporary developments of
20th/21st Century, and the strength and
sustenance Mao and his successors had drawn
from this, to the extent of even using the
same ancient elliptical, allegoric,
epigrammatic, vague circumlocutory verbiage
to hide and fudge, so as to thrive and
succeed.
India too has a great History:
India has also been blessed with ancient
history and civilization and great
philosophers and thinkers whose teachings
had served generations of Rulers and the
Ruled for millennia. Except that in Indian
case there seems to be a disastrous break in
the past couple of centuries under British
colonialism, and contemporary Rulers seem
unaware of and unwilling to draw strength,
sustenance and guidance from their Heritage,
in meaningful, practical ways.
This is
an important point to ponder over while
learning from the successful Chinese
experience, so rivetingly told in the Book
by the master practitioner of International
Diplomacy.
Another
noteworthy/mentionable fact is that the PRC
has been most successful in educating and
sensitising the entire country without
significant distinction among populations in
rural and urban areas, on the major aspects
of its Foreign Policies and external
relations with important countries at any
given point of time, (dealt with in the
Book), both in broad strategic long term
perspective and nuances, as well as
immediate tactical moves, as situations
develop, so as to be able to demonstrate
massive support on the street, especially
when it concerns countries like Japan,
Soviet Union, Vietnam and the U.S.
Even allowing for the differences in the
systems of government, control over media
etc., this gulf is a major, self inflicted
failure which is regrettably and totally
unjustified.
(The writer is a former chief of India's
External Intelligence Agency)