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Afghanistan

Afghanistan’s Future Cannot be secured by sidelining India:

Paper No. 6422            Dated    8-April-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

US Special Envoy on Afghanistan Zalmay Khalilzad skipping India as he cavorts across other regional capitals from Islamabad to Amman to broker a peace settlement with Taliban raises crucial questions whether it is the US deliberate policy to side-line India from Afghan peace process or is it the personal proclivity of Khalilzad reported to be tilted in Pakistan’s favour.

Pakistan’s Deep Frustrations on Afghanistan- Analysed:

Paper No 6417         Dated 30-3-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Pakistan’s deep frustrations in March 2019 on Afghanistan stand manifested by Pakistan PM Imran Khan calling for installation of an Interim Government in Kabul. United States needs to evidently note that Taliban has no capability to over-run Afghanistan and Pakistan is seeking in 2019 a back-door entry for Taliban in Afghanistan’s governance.

Afghanistan: Should go ahead with Shahtoot Dam on Kabul River:

Paper No. 6405              Dated 6-Mar-2019

By S. Chandrasekharan

When work was begun on Shahtoot dam on Kabul River that would provide drinking water to the burgeoning population of Kabul City, there has been protests from Pakistan that the dam would reduce the water flows into Pakistan.  The Dawn in one of the articles has alleged that there could be a drop of 16 to 17 percent of water in the Pakistan side.

Afghanistan Endangered By US Imparting Political Legitimacy to Taliban:

Paper No. 6488 .          Dated 1-Feb-2019

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s secure and stable future, however apparently uncertain in 2019, stands more endangered by United States imparting political legitimacy to Afghan Taliban by engaging them in official peace talks in Doha, and which political legitimacy the Afghan Taliban could not acquire by battling against the United States in Afghanistan for two decades.

Afghanistan’s End-Game- Scenarios-Perspectives- Analysed

Paper No. 28       Dated 28-Jan-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s preferred end-scenario in positive terms of a ‘Stable and Secure Afghanistan’ not materialising after seventeen years of US military embedment arises mainly from United States reluctance to impose deterrent punitive measures on Pakistan Army for its proxy continuous and sustained disruptive activities against the elected Government of Afghanistan.

Indo-Pacific Security Endangered by United States’ Likely Exit From Afghanistan:

 Paper No. 6473                          Dated 30-Dec-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s geostrategic location and presence of US Forces embedded in Afghanistan provide a sheet anchor for Indo Pacific security on its Western Periphery. Indo Pacific Security template has comprehensively emerged as crucial for US security in 2018 prompting rechristening of US Pacific Command as US Indo Pacific Command.

Afghanistan as US Policy Conundrum-end 2018

Paper No. 6468                   Dated  9-Dec-2018

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Geopolitically in end-2018 the United States finds itself in a policy conundrum on Afghanistan primarily because of the inability of US policy planners to recognise that Afghanistan geographically flanked by Pakistan and Iran as Islamist Sates adversarial to United States complicates effective US embedment in Afghanistan for restoration of stability and security.

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