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Afghanistan 2021 Strategic Paradox for United States President Joe Biden

Paper No. 6753                   Dated 17- Feb-2021

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s contextual geopolitical and security environment is a paradoxical challenge for new US President Hoe Biden which he inherits as a ‘legacy challenge’ from two decades of successive US Presidents sending confused signals of  US intent and resolve on Afghanistan’s security and stable future.

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Pakistan’s Objectives conflict with Peace efforts in Afghanistan

Paper No. 6726                                               Dated 6-Jan-2021

Dr. Manoj Kumar Mishra,

While Pakistan kept affirming its commitment to the ongoing exercise of Afghan peace talks, its proclivity towards meddling in the internal affairs of another neighboring sovereign country with an inevitable desire to shape political dynamics there, contradicts its obligations and questions its dedication towards the peace process.

Afghan Peace Process and Plausible Strategies under Biden Administration:

   Paper No. 6724                             Dated 4-Jan-2021

By Dr. Manoj Kumar Mishra,

Initial steps towards the peace process in Afghanistan were taken in mid-2018 with senior American officials secretly traveling to Doha to open talks with the Taliban. This breakthrough was geared up with the appointment of Zalmay Khalilzad as the US State Department’s special representative for Afghan reconciliation in September 2018. However, each round of talks, though starting out with some optimism, fizzled out, followed by enhanced insurgency and violence.

Afghan Taliban Should not be Engaged by India in any Dialogue Process.

Paper No.6587                       Dated 29-May-2020

By Dr Subhash Kapila

India should engage the Afghan Taliban only when they make two public official statements that Kashmir is an ‘Integral Part of India’ and secondly, that Afghan Taliban is committed to the creation of Greater Afghanistan incorporating Pashtun Areas of Pakistan’s borderlands.

Afghanistan Misperceives China as an Honest Broker in Peace Process:

Paper No. 6554                           Dated 27-Mar-2020

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Contemporaneously, with the conflictual state of US-China relations, any speculation on emergence of China as an honest broker in Afghan peace processes in the wake of impending US Forces exit from Afghanistan is fallacious and misperceived and thus ignoring US global national security interests.

Afghanistan's US-Taliban Peace Deal Perceptionally Unsustainable.

Paper No. 6547                           Dated 8-Mar-2020

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan’s much awaited US-Taliban peace deal signed over last weekend perceptionaly emerges as unsustainable as it stands signed under weight of contemporary political pressures on both United States and the Taliban with extreme mutual distrust of each other’s warring opponents still menacingly hovering  above the prospects.

Afghanistan’s Turbulent Neighbourhood 2020-Implications Analysed

Paper No. 6534                       Dated 15-Jan-2020

By Dr Subhash Kapila

Afghanistan already suffering the tyranny of its geostrategic location generating Major Powers’ conflicting rivalries and if the decades-long disruptive strategies against it by its meddlesome neighbour Pakistan were not enough now stares at a turbulent Islamic neighbourhood with implications of pushing distant any chances of peace and stability.

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